A significant late-season tropical system is poised to come together later this week and could strengthen into a formidable November hurricane by this weekend or early next week as it meanders in the western Caribbean.
Local 10 hurricane specialist and storm surge expert Michael Lowry reported that interests from Jamaica and Haiti in the east to Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatán Peninsula in the west will need to monitor the growing threat, especially by late week into the weekend.
The next name on the list is Sara.
According to Lowry, the ceiling for strengthening will be mostly limited to how much interaction the system has with parts of Central America or southern Mexico over the weekend and into the start of next week.
By next week, forecast models show that the system will turn northward to the Gulf of Mexico and hang a hard right toward Florida for next Tuesday into Wednesday (November 19-20).
The question for us in Florida will be how organized it remains by the time it heads in our direction.
The latest tropical forecast can be seen at the top of this page. Click here to read the latest Talking Tropics newsletter.