Rafael Degenerates To A Post-Tropical Remnant Low

Post-Tropical Cyclone

Tropics Forecast Cone at 9:59 Sunday Evening, November 10th

Location 345 miles NNW of Progreso Mexico
Wind 35 mph
Heading E at 3 mph
Pressure 29.71
Coordinates 91.3W, 26.1N

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Discussion

At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Rafael was located near latitude 26.1 North, longitude 91.3 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 3 mph (6 km/h). The remnant low is expected to meander over the central Gulf of Mexico through tonight, then turn toward the south and south-southwest on Monday and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday night.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

Tropics Satellite at 9:58 Sunday Evening, November 10th

Watches and Warnings

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Tropics Models at 9:56 Sunday Evening, November 10th

Land Hazards

Key messages can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

SURF: Swells will continue impacting portions of the northern and western Gulf Coast through Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


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