HURRICANE FLORENCE- LIVE radar from the Local 10 Weather Authority shows the Category 2 storm impacting the Carolinas before making landfall on Friday https://bit.ly/2xcHew1
Posted by WPLG Local 10 on Thursday, September 13, 2018
11 PM PUBLIC ADVISORY
The massive Category 2 storm slowed down on Thursday night worsening the life-threatening storm surge.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph with higher gusts. The center of the eye of the storm is moving toward the northwest and a turn toward the west-northwest is expected through Friday.
Little change in strength is expected before Florence moves inland across extreme southeastern North Carolina and extreme eastern South Carolina Friday and Saturday.
The threat of freshwater flooding will increase over the next several days. Florence will weaken and recurve across the western Carolinas and the central Appalachian Mountains early next week.
TROPICAL UPDATE (Thursday, 6 p.m.)
The center of TROPICAL STORM ISAAC has passed the eastern Caribbean islands but thunderstorms with gusty winds and heavy rain have yet to move through.
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INVEST 95L, which is the National Hurricane Center designation for the system we are watching in the western Gulf of Mexico, may organize into at least a Tropical Depression before impacting the western Gulf coast from Mexico through Texas to Louisiana tomorrow.
HURRICANE FLORENCE: Top winds estimated at 105 mph – Category 2. The center is now less than 100 miles from North Carolina and is barely crawling toward the coast. Squalls gusting to hurricane force have already been reported.
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The winds from HURRICANE FLORENCE will increase in surges on the North Carolina coast this tonight, and the forward motion of the storm will range from slow to stop. It will take until tomorrow until the highest winds are blowing, and the peak storm surge – the ocean water pushed up over the land – comes in.
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The highest water will be around midnight and noon at high tide. The strong winds will last through much of Saturday.
When the center of Florence gets near the coast or just across the North Carolina coastline, it will turn to the left and head toward South Carolina. The storm surge will continue into Saturday, and catastrophic inland flooding is expected near and north of Florence’s path.
The rainfall forecast is for 20-30 inches with some spots getting 40 inches in eastern North Carolina and northeastern South Carolina.
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IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 14: In this NOAA satellite handout image , shows Hurricane Florence as it made landfall near Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina on September 14, 2018. The National Hurricane Center reported Florence had sustained winds of 90 mph at landfall and was moving slowly westward at 6 mph. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 14: In this NOAA satellite handout image captured at 7:45 a.m. ET, shows Hurricane Florence as it made landfall near Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina on September 14, 2018. The National Hurricane Center reported Florence had sustained winds of 90 mph at landfall and was moving slowly westward at 6 mph. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 13: In this NOAA satellite handout image, shows Hurricane Florence it just makes landfall off the coast of the U.S. in the Atlantic Ocean on September 13, 2018. Coastal cities in North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia are under evacuation orders as the Category 2 hurricane approaches the United States. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 13: In this NOAA satellite handout image, shows Hurricane Florence it just makes landfall off the coast of the U.S. in the Atlantic Ocean on September 13, 2018. Coastal cities in North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia are under evacuation orders as the Category 2 hurricane approaches the United States. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 13: In this NOAA satellite handout image captured at 15:02 UTC, shows Hurricane Florence as it travels west in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of the U.S. on September 13, 2018. Coastal cities in North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia are under evacuation orders as the Category 2 hurricane approaches the United States. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 12: In this NASA handout image taken from aboard the International Space Station, shows Hurricane Florence as it travels west in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of the U.S. on September 12, 2018. Coastal cities in North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia are under evacuation orders as the Category 2 hurricane approaches the United States. (Photo by NASA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 12: In this NASA handout image taken from aboard the International Space Station, shows Hurricane Florence as it travels west in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of the U.S. on September 12, 2018. Coastal cities in North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia are under evacuation orders as the Category 2 hurricane approaches the United States. (Photo by NASA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 12: In this NASA handout image taken from aboard the International Space Station, shows Hurricane Florence as it travels west in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of the U.S. on September 12, 2018. Coastal cities in North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia are under evacuation orders as the Category 2 hurricane approaches the United States. (Photo by NASA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 12: In this satellite image provided by the National Aeronatics and Space Administration (NASA) and European Space Agency (ESA), Hurricane Florence churns through the Atlantic Ocean toward the U.S. East Coast on September 12, 2018. Florence slowed its approach to the U.S. today and was expected to turn south, stalling along the North Carolina and South Carolina coast and bringing with it torrential rain, high winds and a dangerous storm surge tomorrow through Saturday. The image was captured by ESA astronaut Alexander Gerst, currently living and working onboard the International Space Station. (Photo by ESA/NASA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 12: In this satellite image provided by U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Hurricane Florence churns through the Atlantic Ocean toward the U.S. East Coast on September 12, 2018. Florence slowed its approach to the U.S. today and was forecast to turn south, stalling along the North Carolina and South Carolina coast and bringing with it torrential rain, high winds and a dangerous storm surge tomorrow through Saturday. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 11: In this satellite image provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Hurricane Florence churns through the Atlantic Ocean toward the U.S. East Coast on September 11, 2018. Florence is expected to make landfall by late Thursday to near Category 5 strength along the Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina coastline. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 11: In this satellite image provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Hurricane Florence churns through the Atlantic Ocean toward the U.S. East Coast on September 11, 2018. Florence is expected to make landfall by late Thursday to near Category 5 strength along the Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina coastline. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 11: In this satellite image provided by NOAA, Hurricane Florence churns through the Atlantic Ocean toward the U.S. East Coast, followed to the east first by Hurricane Isaac and then Hurricane Helene on September 11, 2018. Florence is expected to make landfall by late Thursday to near Category 5 strength along the Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina coastline. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)ATLANTIC OCEAN - SEPTEMBER 10: In this NASA handout image taken by Astronaut Ricky Arnold, Hurricane Florence gains strength in the Atlantic Ocean as it moves west, seen from the International Space Station on September 10, 2018. Weather predictions say the storm will likely hit the U.S. East Coast as early as Thursday, September 13 bringing massive winds and rain. (Photo by NASA via Getty Images)ATLANTIC OCEAN - SEPTEMBER 10: In this NOAA satellite handout image, shows Hurricane Florence as it travels west and gains strength in the Atlantic Ocean southeast of Bermuda on September 10, 2018. Weather predictions say the storm will likely hit the U.S. East Coast as early as Thursday, September 13 bringing massive winds and rain. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)ATLANTIC OCEAN - SEPTEMBER 10 In this NOAA satellite handout image, shows Hurricane Florence as it gains strength in the Atlantic Ocean southeast of Bermuda on September 10, 2018. Weather predictions say the storm will likely hit the U.S. East Coast as early as Thursday, September 13 bringing massive winds and rain. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)ATLANTIC OCEAN - SEPTEMBER 10: In this NOAA satellite handout image, shows Hurricane Florence as it travels west and gains strength in the Atlantic Ocean southeast of Bermuda on September 10, 2018. Weather predictions say the storm will likely hit the U.S. East Coast as early as Thursday, September 13 bringing massive winds and rain. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)ATLANTIC OCEAN - SEPTEMBER 10: In this NOAA satellite handout image, shows Hurricane Florence as it travels west and gains strength in the Atlantic Ocean southeast of Bermuda on September 10, 2018. Weather predictions say the storm will likely hit the U.S. East Coast as early as Thursday, September 13 bringing massive winds and rain. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)ATLANTIC OCEAN - SEPTEMBER 10: In this NOAA satellite handout image, shows Hurricane Florence (C) as it gains strength in the Atlantic Ocean southeast of Bermuda moving west on September 10, 2018. Hurricane Isaac and Helene can be seen to the east of Florence. Weather predictions say the storm will likely hit the U.S. East Coast as early as Thursday, September 13 bringing massive winds and rain. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)
IN SPACE - SEPTEMBER 14: In this NOAA satellite handout image , shows Hurricane Florence as it made landfall near Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina on September 14, 2018. The National Hurricane Center reported Florence had sustained winds of 90 mph at landfall and was moving slowly westward at 6 mph. (Photo by NOAA via Getty Images)
Here are the Key Messages from the National Hurricane Center concerning HURRICANE FLORENCE:
1. A life-threatening storm surge is now highly likely along portions of the coastlines of South Carolina and North Carolina, and a Storm Surge Warning is in effect for a portion of this area. The greatest storm surge inundation is expected between Cape Fear and Cape Hatteras in North Carolina, including the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers and western Pamlico Sound to the west of Cape Hatteras.
2. Life-threatening, catastrophic flash flooding and prolonged significant river flooding are likely over portions of the Carolinas and the southern and central Appalachians through early next week, as Florence is expected to slow down as it approaches the coast and moves inland.
3. Damaging hurricane-force winds are likely along portions of the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina as soon as this evening, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Strong winds could also spread inland into portions of the Carolinas.
4. Large swells affecting Bermuda, portions of the U.S. East Coast, and the northwestern and central Bahamas will continue this week, resulting in life-threatening surf and rip currents.
The center of TROPICAL STORM ISAAC has moved past the eastern Caribbean, however heavey rain is yet to come. Guadeloupe, Dominica, and Martinique will feel the most impact. The northern Caribbean islands – the Greater Antilles – including Puerto Rico and the southern U.S. Virgin Islands may also feel some fringe effects from the storm.
Tropical Storm Isaac currently has top winds of 40 mph.
After Isaac passes deeper into the Caribbean Sea, it is forecast to weaken and lose its circulation. Some computer models that have shown it restrengthening and moving into the Gulf. They are being discounted at this time, but the system will have to be watched for the next several days in case it reorganizes.
INVEST 95L, the system in the Gulf of Mexico, will move west toward Texas. The National Hurricane Center gives it a 50% chance of organizing into at least Tropical Depression before it reaches the coast tomorrow. In any case, it will bring heavy rain and some gusty winds to northern Mexico, Texas, and possibly part of the Louisiana coast.
Copyright 2018 by WPLG Local10.com. The Associated Press contributed to this report. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
Betty Davis is the chief certified meteorologist for Local 10. She provides weather forecasts for South Florida Monday-Friday during the 4, 6 and 11 p.m. newscasts.
