In Tuesday’s newsletter we previewed a tropical wave – a strong disturbance emerging off the coast of Africa – that could make a run at development as it heads toward the Caribbean for next week. By late yesterday, NHC added the area to its outlook, indicating slow development in the days ahead.

A healthy disturbance moving through the central Atlantic – known as Invest 94L – has gradually organized since Tuesday and is on the verge of becoming the 20th tropical depression of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season.

Historically, by this point in the hurricane season, roughly 85% of named storms have already formed in the Atlantic. This means that in a typical year, we would still expect two more named storms before the end of November, with one of those named storms strengthening into a hurricane.

Tropical Depression Nine, which formed over the Gulf of Mexico on Monday, strengthened overnight into Tropical Storm Harold, the 8th named storm of the busy 2023 Atlantic hurricane season.

It’s nearing the time of year tropical activity starts quickly heating up, and right on cue we’re following several systems this week in the Atlantic for possible development. For now, neither system poses any immediate threat to land, but we’ll keep an eye to the westernmost disturbance for the Caribbean islands this weekend.

The disturbance, designated Invest 95L, had odds as high as 70% on Friday from the NHC to form into Tropical Depression 6, or possibly Tropical Storm Emily. Those odds have now been dropped to just 20%.

Tropical Storm Cindy remained strong Saturday morning, but it isn’t expected to last for long while Tropical Storm Bret continued to weaken, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Tropical Storm Bret formed yesterday morning in the far eastern Atlantic, farther east than any other named storm in June by over 1,200 miles.

Tropical Storm Lisa – the 12th named storm in a late-blooming Atlantic hurricane season – formed Monday morning about 175 miles south of Kingston, Jamaica, in the western Caribbean.

Continuamos siguiendo una área de tormentas en el Caribe que puede organizarse en una depresión tropical a fines de semana o principios de la próxima semana.

Continuamos siguiendo una área de tormentas en el Caribe que puede organizarse en una depresión tropical a fines de semana o principios de la próxima semana.

We continue to follow an area of storminess in the Caribbean that may organize into a tropical depression by late weekend or early next week.

The center of Tropical Storm Fiona passed over Guadeloupe – part of the chain of islands flanking the northeastern Caribbean – last night, bringing heavy rains and gusty winds, at times reaching nearly 60 mph, while hurricane watches went up this morning for Puerto Rico and portions of the Dominican Republic as the storm tracked westward into the eastern Caribbean.

Tropical Storm Fiona, largely held in check from yesterday, is approaching the easternmost islands of the Caribbean today and is forecast to bring squally weather and potentially flooding rains to parts of the northern Antilles this weekend.

After a historically quiet start to the hurricane season – the least active in over 80 years – the Atlantic is making up for lost time with its second hurricane in less than a week and two areas we’re watching for development in the week ahead.

The National Weather Service issued a flash flood warning on Sunday afternoon as rain moved into Broward County.

How familiar are you with all the storm terms and hurricane categories? Do you know the difference between a Category 2 storm and a Category 5?

PEMBROKE PARK, Fla. – Whether we like it or not, Tropical Storm Isaias has formed and will need to be monitored this week as it possibly heads in the direction of South Florida. As it becomes part of the conversation, we want to make sure you know the proper way of pronouncing Isaias. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the proper pronunciation is ees-ah-EE-ahs. For the latest on Isaias and everything else worth watching in the tropics, head over to the Local 10 Hurricane Page. ALSO SEE: Hurricane names for 2020 — Arthur to Wilfred