Caribbean Gale Warning

A broad subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean will force fresh to strong easterly trade winds with rough seas in the south- central Caribbean through midweek next week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours through Sun night, these winds are expected to reach gale-force off NW Colombia. Winds will decrease below gale early next week.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https: //www. nhc. noaa. gov/text/MIAHSFAT2. shtml for more details.

Tropical Waves

A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic, south of 10N with axis near 44W, moving west at 5-10 kt. There is no deep convection associated with this wave at this time.

Monsoon Trough Itcz

The monsoon trough is confined to the African continent. The ITCZ extends from 04N17W to 01S49W. Scattered moderate convection is observed south of 10N and east of 30W.

Gulf Of America

A weak stationary front extends from the Florida panhandle to SE Louisiana and a few showers are noted across the northern Gulf waters. Moderate to fresh easterly SE winds and seas of 3-5 ft are evident north of 28N and north of the Yucatan peninsula. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible over the northern Gulf waters today and Sun as the weak stationary front lifts northward. Winds will pulse to strong near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sun night. Looking ahead, another cold front will move into the northern Gulf waters late Sun, and reach from northern Florida to the Bay of Campeche by late Mon, followed by moderate to locally strong N to NE winds. Fresh to strong NW winds are expected off Veracruz Mon night. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are possible ahead of the front. Conditions will improve across the basin Tue night into Wed as the front weakens.

Caribbean Sea

Please read the Special Features for details on the Gale Warning off NW Colombia.

Broad high pressure north of the Caribbean and lower pressures in the deep tropics result in fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds and locally rough seas in the central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, a broad subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean will force fresh to strong easterly trade winds with rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through midweek next week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours through Sun night, these winds are expected to reach gale-force off NW Colombia. Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds and rough seas are also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras through Sun night. Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean.

Atlantic Ocean

A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic waters near 31N64W and continues southwestward to 30N71W, followed by a stationary front to NE Florida. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted near this boundary. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is dominated by a weak pressure gradient that supports moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

Meanwhile, broad surface ridging also dominates the central and eastern Atlantic. In the far NE Atlantic, a wakening cold front extends from 31N11W to 24N24W to 29N35W. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate to rough seas up to 10 ft are occurring behind the front. Moderate easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the rest of the central and eastern Atlantic east of 55W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front will gradually weaken today as the cold front portion shifts eastward and weakens. A stronger cold front is expected to follow a similar path Mon through Tue, followed by fresh to locally strong winds and rough seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to marginally severe, are possible near both fronts. Meanwhile, the subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic will support fresh to locally strong winds off northern Hispaniola through Mon night.

Posted about 7 hours ago by NHC Forecaster Delgado