Hurricane

The tumultuous 2025 hurricane season comes to a close
The tumultuous 2025 hurricane season comes to a close
This hurricane season two forecast models stand out, but for very different reasons
This hurricane season two forecast models stand out, but for very different reasons
Local 10 crew joins Project DYNAMO on relief trip to Montego Bay after Hurricane Melissa
Local 10 crew joins Project DYNAMO on relief trip to Montego Bay after Hurricane Melissa
Updates

For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Posted 13 days ago by NHC Forecaster Bucci

Special Features

West Atlantic Gale Warning: Gale force winds are forecast to begin at 15/0000 UTC, lasting through 15/1200 UTC, northwest of a cold front that will move across the western Atlantic waters. Seas will range from 12-14 ft. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https: //www. nhc. noaa. gov/text/MIAHSFAT2. shtml for more information.

East Atlantic Gale Warning: MeteoFrance has issued a Gale Warning for the MADEIRA and CANARIAS Marine Zones. For Madeira, the warning is valid through 13/2100 UTC, and for Canarias, the warning is valid through 14/0000 UTC. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by MeteoFrance at: https: //wwmiws. wmo. int/index. php/metareas/affiche/2 for more information.

East Atlantic Significant Swell Event: Strong to near- gale force north winds has generated a significant area of large, long period N swell in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Seas 12 ft or greater are north of 15N and east of 35W, with peak seas to 22 ft near the Canary Islands. The swell direction is N with 15-19 sec periods. Seas are forecast to start to decrease tonight, subsiding below 12 ft by early Monday morning. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by MeteoFrance at: https: //wwmiws. wmo. int/index. php/metareas/affiche/2 for more information.

Monsoon Trough Itcz

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through 08N13W and extends to 05N19W. The ITCZ continues from 05N19W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N between 13W and 24W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 06N between 30W and 50W.

GULF OF AMERICA,

Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the Gulf waters. Seas are in the 2-4 ft range, except over the NE Gulf where seas of 1-2 ft prevail.

For the forecast, high pressure located over north Florida and the adjacent Atlantic waters will slide northeastward and into the NW Atlantic through tonight ahead of a cold front forecast to enter the northern Gulf on Sun morning. Strong northerly winds and rough seas will follow the front. This system is expected to reach the south-central Gulf along 24N by Mon morning, and move south of the basin Mon night. Strong high pressure will dominate the Gulf region in the wake of the front.

CARIBBEAN SEA,

Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft, prevail in the south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are elsewhere E of 80W. W of 80W, moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough seas are expected over the central Caribbean through Sun morning due to the pressure gradient between the Colombian low and a modest western Atlantic ridge. Winds will pulse to near gale-force at night offshore of northern Colombia. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong trade winds and rough seas in large E swell will prevail over the Atlantic waters, through the Atlantic passages and into the eastern part of the basin through Mon night. A cold front will enter the northwestern Caribbean Mon, accompanied by increasing winds and building seas behind the front. This front is expected to reach from central Cuba to N Belize Tue morning, then will begin to stall and weaken through Wed.

ATLANTIC OCEAN,

Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for more information on GALE WARNINGS for the western and eastern Atlantic Ocean, and a SIGNIFICANT SWELL EVENT in the eastern Atlantic.

A stationary front extends from 31N55W to eastern Cuba. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is along the front. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft prevail west of the front. Aside from the gale force winds, and very rough seas discussed in the SPECIAL FEATURES section above, fresh to near- gale force winds, and seas of 8-12 ft prevail E of 35W. Fresh to locally strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft prevail elsewhere S of 22N. Gentle winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, a cold front is forecast to move off the coast of the southeastern United States on Sun, followed by strong to gale-force northerly winds and quickly building seas through Mon morning. The front is expected to reach from just E of Bermuda to the NW Bahamas into the Straits by Mon morning, and from 29N55W to the SE Bahamas and central Cuba by Tue morning. Large N swell will build in across the regional waters behind the front Sun night through Tue morning before subsiding. Elsewhere, a stationary front extending from 31N55W through the SE Bahamas and across eastern Cuba will lift northward and dissipate on Sun.

Posted about 5 hours ago by NHC Forecaster AL