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Doubt lingers in Balkans after years of broken EU promises

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Copyright 2021 The Associated Press. All rights reserved

People pass the building of the European Union delegation, where a giant poster reads in Macedonian "EU with You", in Skopje, North Macedonia, Saturday, Oct. 2, 2021. Twenty years ago, North Macedonia had narrowly averted a civil war and NATO was collecting rebel weapons in the poor Balkan country. Two decades on, the country has made strides and is a member of NATO. But its future in the European Union is still in doubt, and so is that of neighboring Albania. (AP Photo/Boris Grdanoski)

BRUSSELS ā€“ Twenty years ago, the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia had narrowly avoided a civil war and NATO was collecting weapons held by ethnic Albanian rebels under an internationally backed agreement meant to shore up peace.

The tiny Balkans country was in economic and social turmoil and making international headlines. Averting a new conflict in the volatile Balkans was a strategic priority for both the European Union and the United States, and the EU foreign policy chief at the time, Javier Solana, told the Macedonians that ā€œthe EU will always stand for you and will try to help you, because we want you to have a European perspective.ā€

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Then the Twin Towers came crashing down, and with them much of the worldā€™s interest in Macedonia. It was the start of a series of setbacks, and while North Macedonia ā€” as the country is now known ā€” has joined the very NATO military alliance whose troops it once reluctantly allowed onto its territory, joining the European Union has proved a tougher nut to crack.

The prospect of EU membership is a major driver of democratic and economic reform in the Balkans. Itā€™s brought jobs and relative wealth to a poor region. But 16 years after becoming an official candidate for membership, it remains unclear when North Macedonia and its 2 million people will be allowed to begin accession talks, let alone join Europeā€™s rich club.

EU leaders are meeting in Slovenia on Wednesday to examine the fate of North Macedonia, and of fellow candidate country Albania. But hopes for rapid progress are low, and it remains unclear how the country will react to yet another disappointment.

In 2011, a dispute with Greece over Macedoniaā€™s name blocked progress both at NATO and the EU. It led Prime Minister Nikola Gruevski to begin a nationalist drive that even surprised many citizens.

A 22-meter (72-foot) -high bronze statue of Alexander the Great was erected in the heart of Skopje, in what was seen as a towering challenge to neighboring Greeceā€™s claim on the ancient hero. Gruevski also pinned ancient names on the countryā€™s airports, highways and football stadiums

In the EU, whose common foreign and security policy developed from its failure to prevent the bloody wars in Bosnia in the early 1990s and its commitment to ensure that nothing like it should happen in Europe again, fears grew that Macedonia had been lost to extreme nationalism.

In the end, however, a wire-tapping scandal brought Gruevski down, and the country seemed to be back on track. But two years ago, when Skopje already had a green light from Brussels to proceed, French President Emmanuel Macronā€™s insistence that the EU enlargement process should be revamped before more countries could join delayed things again.

North Macedonia Prime Minister Zoran Zaev called snap elections after the EU failed to agree to finally start the talks.

ā€œEurope has not delivered what it has promised. A huge injustice has been done to us,ā€ Zaev said. ā€œI am disappointed and outraged.ā€

In the end, Zaev was re-elected and the membership bid continued. But that was not the end of the story.

Barely had the name row with Greece been resolved than the government of Bulgaria suddenly insisted that North Macedonia must recognize that its language has Bulgarian roots and stamp out what it claims is anti-Bulgarian rhetoric.

No sign has surfaced ahead of Wednesdayā€™s summit that this deadlock might be broken, and the situation is affecting both North Macedonia and Albania. Questions remain over the future of the two EU hopefuls, and what impact any new rejection might have.

A draft summit statement seen by The Associated Press, says that ā€œthe EU reconfirms its commitment to the enlargement process.ā€ The leaders promise to ā€œfurther intensify our joint engagementā€ with the Balkans. Membership, though, is based on the blocā€™s ā€œcapacity to integrate new members.ā€

The draft could change, but for now it contains no specific reference to North Macedonia or Albania.

During a visit to Skopje last week, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen implored North Macedonia to show even more patience, saying that she supports its membership quest from ā€œthe bottom of my heart.ā€

ā€œI call on you not to lose faith. We have gone so far, you have gone such a long way, you have made so much progress,ā€ she said. ā€œNow let us go this extra mile, it will really pay off.ā€

However, it is the 27 member countries that must decide unanimously who joins, and not the EUā€™s executive branch. Zaev tried Monday to temper expectations, saying that the meeting is not meant to launch negotiations but is more for EU leaders to send a ā€œclear messageā€ that they will be "maximally focused on Western Balkan integration into the European Union.ā€

Even amid conflict, it somehow seemed simpler 20 years ago.

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AP writer Konstantin Testorides in Skopje, North Macedonia contributed to this report.


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